Tuesday, June 18, 2013

New paper finds another non-hockey-stick in the Atlantic Ocean

A paper published today in The Holocene finds another non-hockey-stick from reconstructed sea surface temperatures in the NE Atlantic and Nordic Seas over the past millennium. Plot of the data from the paper shows sea surface temperatures were higher during the Medieval Warming Period 1000 years ago than at the end of the record in 1975. 
Plot of the data from the paper shows sea surface temperatures were higher during the Medieval Warming Period 1000 years ago that at the end of the record in 1975. Note vertical axis is inverted because the proxy is inversely related to sea surface temperature.  
Update: Multiproxy data from the source noted in comment below also shows warmer temperatures during the Medieval Warming Period than at the end of the record in 1975:



Prior posts on non-hockey-sticks

Reconstructions of surface ocean conditions from the northeast Atlantic and Nordic seas during the last millennium

Abstract

We undertake the first comprehensive effort to integrate North Atlantic marine climate records for the last millennium, highlighting some key components common within this system at a range of temporal and spatial scales. In such an approach, careful consideration needs to be given to the complexities inherent to the marine system. Composites therefore need to be hydrographically constrained and sensitive to both surface water mass variability and three-dimensional ocean dynamics. This study focuses on the northeast (NE) North Atlantic Ocean, particularly sites influenced by the North Atlantic Current. A composite plus regression approach is used to create an inter-regional NE North Atlantic reconstruction of sea surface temperature (SST) for the last 1000 years. We highlight the loss of spatial information associated with large-scale composite reconstructions of the marine environment. Regional reconstructions of SSTs off the Norwegian and Icelandic margins are presented, along with a larger-scale reconstruction spanning the NE North Atlantic. The latter indicates that the ‘Medieval Climate Anomaly’ warming was most pronounced before AD 1200, with a long-term cooling trend apparent after AD 1250. This trend persisted until the early 20th century, while in recent decades temperatures have been similar to those inferred for the ‘Medieval Climate Anomaly’. The reconstructions are consistent with other independent records of sea-surface and surface air temperatures from the region, indicating that they are adequately capturing the climate dynamics of the last millennium. Consequently, this method could potentially be used to develop large-scale reconstructions of SSTs for other hydrographically constrained regions.

4 comments:

  1. I think the data series to use is:

    ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/paleocean/by_contributor/cunningham2013/cunningham2013-data-series.txt

    NENA_Comp column

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. NENA_Comp column plotted in Update above

      Thanks

      Delete
  2. Just when the UK Met Office and warmists declare that :

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-22959578

    ReplyDelete
  3. http://www.co2science.org/articles/V17/N6/C1.php

    ReplyDelete